TAM Methodology: CC-39 Prospecting Engine
The TAM Engine identifies, scores, and ranks accounts from Casey's Total Addressable Market using a data-driven pipeline. It replaces ad-hoc prospecting with a repeatable, signal-enriched process.
Data Sources
| Source | Records | Description |
|---|---|---|
| FreightRoll | ~4,500 companies | Core freight/logistics companies (carriers, 3PLs, brokers, shippers) |
| DWTB | ~825 companies | Marketing advisory prospects from “Does Whoever Think Big?” list |
| contacts.db | ~107K contacts, ~26K companies | SQLite FTS5 database with people, titles, emails |
| Signal feeds | ~1,600 matches | RSS/news feeds matched to TAM companies |
ICP Definitions
Four Ideal Customer Profiles drive tiering:
Enterprise Shipper
Fortune 500 / large shipper, $500M+ revenue, 500K+ truckloads/yr. Pain: yard congestion, detention costs, dock scheduling at scale.
Mid-Market Carrier/3PL
Regional carrier or 3PL, $50M–$500M revenue, 100K–500K truckloads. Pain: manual yard ops, driver wait times, facility throughput.
Logistics Tech Buyer
Companies actively investing in supply chain technology. Indicated by hiring patterns, tech stack signals, recent funding.
FreightTech Adjacent
Companies in the freight ecosystem with indirect relevance (truck OEMs, fuel networks, compliance SaaS).
Scoring Model
Each company receives a TAM Score (0–100) based on weighted criteria:
- Tier match (30%) — T1=30, T2=22, T3=15, T4=8
- Freight volume (25%) — Scaled by est_truckloads (log scale, capped at 5M)
- Signal density (20%) — More recent signals = higher score (diminishing returns after 5)
- Org coverage (15%) — # of buyer-level contacts identified (C-Suite/VP/Dir)
- Revenue proxy (10%) — Estimated revenue bracket
Score Buckets
- 🟢 Hot (75–100) — prioritize immediate outreach
- 🟡 Warm (50–74) — build relationship, watch for triggers
- 🔵 Watch (25–49) — monitor, enrich data
- ⚪ Cold (0–24) — low priority
Pipeline Architecture & Stages
[FreightRoll CSV] ──┐
├──→ extract_companies ──→ tam_companies.jsonl
[DWTB CSV] ─────────┘
│
▼
match_people (contacts.db FTS5)
│
▼
tam_people_map.jsonl
│
▼
match_signals (signal_feeds.json)
│
▼
tam_signal_matches.jsonl
│
▼
score_and_rank
│
▼
hunt_list.jsonl + CSV exports1. extract_companies — Deduplicates and normalizes company records from FreightRoll + DWTB CSVs into tam_companies.jsonl. Uses rapidfuzz >85% similarity for fuzzy dedup.
2. match_people — Queries contacts.db via FTS5 full-text search to find people at TAM companies. Classifies by role_level (C-Suite, VP, Director, Manager, IC) and flags buyers. Outputs tam_people_map.jsonl.
3. match_signals — Matches signal feed items (RSS headlines from signal_feeds.json) to TAM companies using fuzzy name matching. Outputs tam_signal_matches.jsonl.
4. score_and_rank — Computes TAM score per company using the scoring model above. Sorts by score desc, assigns rank. Outputs hunt_list.jsonl.
5. export_csv — Generates CSV exports for hunt list, companies, people, and signals for spreadsheet use.
CC-39 Results — Real Numbers
This engine was deployed for our own prospecting pipeline. Here are the actual outputs:
From 4,542 companies in the initial universe, the scoring engine identified 53 Tier 1 accounts — a 1.2% precision rate. These 53 companies matched across all scoring dimensions: tier fit, freight volume, signal density, org coverage, and revenue bracket. Each came with mapped contacts, matched signals, and composite scores ready for outreach sequencing.
What This Means for Your Pipeline
Most FreightTech companies prospect by hand: scanning LinkedIn, asking for intros, and hoping the right person shows up at a conference. The TAM Engine inverts that model. Instead of hunting one account at a time, you score your entire addressable market simultaneously and let data tell you where to focus.
The output is not a spreadsheet. It is a ranked hunt list with contact maps, signal context, and scoring rationale for every account — ready to feed directly into outreach systems. The time from "who should we talk to?" to "here are your top 50 accounts with contact maps and signal context" compresses from weeks of manual research to minutes of automated processing.
How to use this engine commercially
Use it to narrow focus
If the team is chasing too many accounts, this is the framework for reducing noise before outbound starts.
Use it to improve timing
Signal-matched account ranking changes who gets attention now versus who should stay in watch mode.
Use it to scope execution
If the market list is messy, this usually comes before broader GTM automation or outbound scale.
Keep reading
TAM Precision Engine
4,542 companies scored. 53 Tier 1 accounts identified. 1.2% precision from a multi-dimensional scoring pipeline.
Read PlaybookThe Freight Tech GTM Playbook
The definitive guide to taking logistics software to market. Sequencing trust, TAM focus, proof, and follow-up so the right buyers move faster.
Read TeardownWhy Your FreightTech Website Is Not Converting
A harsh look at why transportation software sites fail. Breaking down the trust deficit, ambiguous messaging, and poor demo routing.
ReadWant this precision applied to your TAM?
We deploy the same scoring engine for our clients as part of GTM Automation sprints. Your market, your ICPs, your signals.
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